Comments on: Adobe to drop desktop apps, move entirely online-based within the decade

By: Brad

Brad — Tue, 09 Dec 2008 11:56:22 +0000

Not happening.
Here’s the problem – even though you can use a rich app through a platform like flash (in adobe’s case) the code size to replicate all of the features of something like photoshop. Even if you defer loading as much as possible, it’s still going to be horrifically slow – even for those on broadband.
And I don’t see internet getting more than say 10x faster in the next ten years.
That’s not even to mention the fact that for an application like video editing (adobe premiere pro) uploading the video in hd or whatever we’ll be using in 10 years, will still be a huge hurdle.

More likely – we’ll still install something like photoshop, only we’ll pull it from the web and it will transparently update and seemlessly integrate with a web service component.
There might be a lightweight version that runs with no sizeable download.

By: Coleman Foley

Coleman Foley — Fri, 19 Oct 2007 04:28:14 +0000

everything will be web-based in more like 10 months

By: Jon

Jon — Fri, 19 Oct 2007 03:20:34 +0000

Great… yet another id/password to have to keep track of!

Even with encryption and other technologies to prevent harvesting of files and other sensitive materials, I see this becoming a bit of a problem using todays current internet standards. In 10 years, we will all have personal hovercraft and travel in elevator tubes like futurama anyhow… bring it on!

As for Adobe, this makes sense… subscription models are more profitable over the long run and provide revenues that can but increase while being guaranteed!

Jon

By: Seth Levy

Seth Levy — Thu, 18 Oct 2007 23:07:36 +0000

what happens when you have a 15 hour flight and are planning on using that time to work on an advertisement on photoshop? Or if you are in a place without the net? Complete loss of desktop applications is a very bad idea.

By: mathew

mathew — Thu, 18 Oct 2007 21:00:47 +0000

It was a dumb idea when they called it diskless workstations. It was a dumb idea when they called it network computing. It was a dumb idea when they called it thin client. It’s still a dumb idea now that they’re calling it web 2.0.

By: theharmonyguy

theharmonyguy — Thu, 18 Oct 2007 19:51:10 +0000

I hope the reliability of my Internet connection gets better by then…

By: SjH

SjH — Thu, 18 Oct 2007 17:55:45 +0000

Are you basing this post entirely on that Reuters story? I ask because the linked story indicates that such a shift would take NEARER to ten years than to five; that could still be 15 or 20 years.