Old Man Dvorak says ‘the Google phone is doomed’
- November 10th, 2007
- Read 1327 times
- 7 Comments
Every industry needs an old, crotchety curmudgeon. We have the always-entertaining John C. Dvorak who’s lately seemed to be slowly slipping into senility. That’s okay, though. That’s okay. He’s our grandpa and we love him and you don’t just cut people out of your life because they’ve started going crazy.
His latest outburst is against the Google-led Open Handset Alliance. He thinks it won’t work. That’s a fine opinion but it needs to be backed up with a convincing argument. The reasons he gives are far from convincing, however.
Dvorak takes his first potshot at Andy Rubin…
"In reality, I would guess that Rubin isn’t really going to get anywhere with this since he is, apparently, a strikeout artist. He’s the guy behind the unique-but-clunky Danger PDA–cum-phone. The Danger was cool and fun to use, but it was less a phone and more a gizmo. Let me point out something to all the geniuses out there: People buy phones because they are phones and not because they are half-baked Game Boys, GPS navigators, or Web browsers. That was the problem with the Danger and its successor, the Hiptop handset. They were clunky."
Couple things here. First, the device was never called "The Danger." Danger was and is the software company behind the device (The Hiptop), which was rebranded as the Sidekick by T-Mobile. Secondly, he’s talking about these devices as if they don’t exist any more. The Sidekick line of mobile devices has been around for a while, two new models were just released, and the devices themselves are very popular. Hardly a strikeout.
"So what is Google trying to do with a phone? First of all, it wants to put Google search on a phone. It wants to do this because it is obvious to the folks at Google that people need to do Web searches from their phone, so they can, uh, get directions to the restaurant? Of course, they can simply use the phone itself to call the restaurant and ask!"
You don’t need me to tell you how ridiculous this sounds. You’d actually need the restaurant’s phone number in order to place the call and to get that phone number, you’d need to either do a "Web search" or call 411, which costs something absurd like $1.75 a call and that’s assuming that they connect you correctly the first time. Then you need to hope that someone at the restaurant answers and you can hear them well enough to get directions, assuming the person on the other end knows where you’re located at the moment. I, personally, find Google Maps on my mobile phone a lot easier to use than the rigmarole that Dvorak suggests.
"When all is said and done, Google is actually not a charismatic company that can make this new platform happen in a big way. Google hopes that people will code new applications for the phone. People have had eons to program for the Windows smartphones and nothing has come of it. What’s so different now?"
Really? The company that changed the way people search for information, develops award-winning free applications one after another, and is hell-bent on purchasing an entire wireless spectrum for this new platform isn’t going to be able to make this happen in a big way? And the comparison to Windows smartphones is silly. The new system is Linux-based, open, and free. People haven’t been programming stuff for Windows smartphones because they’ve likely been putting their time and effort towards initiatives that are similar to what groups like the Open Handset Alliance and Linux enthusiasts are trying to accomplish, not something out of Microsoft.
The Google Phone Is Doomed [PC Magazine]









Travis (Who am I?)
8 months ago
I think Dvorak might be right, but not for the asinine reasons he stated. To me, this will be Google’s hardest fight. They’ll have to get the hardware companies that have spent a ton of money on their own UI to drop it and move over. Thats only going to happen if there are enough programs for google to make people seek them out, and they start to loose money.
Google isn’t flawless anymore either. They aren’t the underdog fighting the good fight. People are questioning if google still goes by their “don’t be evil” slogan.
Richard Chapman (Who am I?)
8 months ago
The words you quoted came from a man who railed against that Newfangled blogging sensation back in 2003. I used to like to read JCD’s work back in the early days. But he’s not relevant anymore and I think he knows it. It’s kind of sad really. He did some good work in his day but now he seems to be looking for the easy pickings, which is usually something related to Open Source. I strongly suspect that he doesn’t take his own posts seriously. When he retires I suppose he’ll write a book detailing all the fast ones he pulled over us. And he’ll giggle to himself as he snaps a few pictures from his porch.
Pope (Who am I?)
8 months ago
Got to admit, that Dvorak is going to be right about the Google software. Google wants to put ads on everything and your phone is not the place that you will allow this. Anything that slows you down from doing your business will be tossed aside.
Dan (Who am I?)
8 months ago
Don’t people know about about Goog411! With Goog411, you can essentially do a search with your phone w/o it being web-enabled because all you do is call a toll-free number. So all you need is a regular phone, not some fancy web-enable phone.
Honestly, if it weren’t for Goog411, the Google Phone would have been more important or useful.
Just my 2 cents.
-Dan
Jacob Romeyn (Who am I?)
8 months ago
Here is the reason why it will be unsuccessful:
If Microsoft takes the effort to belittle it.
Windows: Why is everyone paying so much attention to this dumb press release?
“Their efforts are just some words on paper right now, it’s hard to do a very clear comparison [with Windows Mobile]” — Steve Balmer, CEO of Microsoft,
Mark Hughes (Who am I?)
8 months ago
Dvorak is just a troll. He gets paid based on page-views of his latest screeds. He’s long past his sell-by date, and can no longer make a living by writing something intelligent, so he has to go the circus freak route. The more ridiculous and insane he acts, the more page-views he gets, and the more he gets paid.
Linking to him just reinforces his behavior. Just ignore him, and he’ll go broke and die on the streets like any other crazy homeless person.
Tom
2 months ago
Hey dan, have you ever tried 1-800-info-fast they are similar to goog 411 but they use live operators? Much more convienient. Humans understand you more than those computers you have to talk to. For example i was at the bar the other night and i needed a taxi i called 1800-info-fast and just asked them to connect me with a local cab. Just like that i was connected with yellow cab. This is interesting because i didn’t ask for a specific company. So the next day i called and asked them to find me an escort service i was kidding of course but they actually found me one. Funny huh they can find anything. anyway thats my 2 cents i like 1800-info-fast the best.
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