Blu-ray won’t save the optical-disk-mongers trade

Citigroup analyst Jason “the Flame” Bazinet believes that DVD revenues — and later Blu-Ray revenues, at this point — will fall steadily in the next few years, bucking the growth trend that bouyed the spirits of Hollywood bigwigs for years. He expects total sales to fall to $21.4 million this year and the overall Blu-Ray uptake to remain steady and, sadly, cannibalize regular DVD sales. In short, all signs point to the death of the disk.

Should we be sad? No. This will force studios to finally figure out streaming and online sales once and for all, allowing us to watch our movies just about anywhere without stealing them. Good riddance, I say.

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5 Comments so far

 
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Mark (Who am I?)

“allowing us to watch our movies just about anywhere without stealing them.”

Well I wouldn’t go quite that far yet. But it will help.

 
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John Biggs (Who am I?)

i was being phlegmatic

 
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Mark (Who am I?)

you’re a phlegmatic

 
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Eric (Who am I?)

I’m interested in seeing Blu-Ray release special editions and fancy boxes, the way DVDs have. Until they do, I think there’s always going to be a place for the real collectors, who want those gorgeous four disc sets with collectible art, seni-types, and the occasional signature.

There’s no way I’m trading in my limited-to-500-copies edition of The Perfect Storm, autographed by George Clooney, that I spent an epic amount on, regardless if Blu-Ray has better quality. You know?

 
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Eric (Who am I?)

Citigroup. The company that didn’t see the mortgage crisis coming (which many saw coming five years ago?) you think has the ability to see the future?

In fact, their comments ignore the proven fact that Blu-ray adoption is going faster than DVD adoption did. Now the HD-DVD finally where it should be (oblivion) the future is only going to be brighter.

With FCC hearings smacking Comcast for throttling P2P because of phony bandwidth problems, you think all of a sudden the massive increase in bandwidth that downloading HD movies would take won’t cause a crisis amongst the “pipe” owners who don’t control the content as well to maximize their profitability?

I credit American business sense (er, senselessness) with promising a long and happy future to Blu-ray. Because no company out there that has the pipes is going to let all that bandwidth be traversed without a blood tax.

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