Stopping short of saying Blu-ray is coming to the Xbox 360 (hurry up, guys), Microsoft Games Studio’s head Shane Kim said that the Xbox 360 is expected to have a seven-year lifespan. That gives us about 4 years left on the console before we see a new Xbox.
Kim was talking about the “long tail” expected of the 360, and it was noted that the PS3 has an expected 10 year tail. When asked about the fact that the console would start to be long in the tooth before long, he said that we’d see more technical innovation and perhaps additional abilities to the current format. What that means is yet to be seen, but we still think that if the 360 doesn’t get Blu-ray, and soon, it will continue to lose ground to the Blu-ray-toting (and touting) PS3.
What I think?
The 360 remains comfortably ahead of the PS3 = new box in 4 more years.
The PS3 start to really threaten the 360’s lead or overtake it = new xbox in 2-3 more years.
Which makes sense. I think 5 years is when something new is needed, but most wouldn’t agree. the PS3 in 10 years? yea it will be around but I wouldn’t have any interest whatsoever in any of todays console in 10 years.